FORMULAS – CORPORATE FINANCE
Future Value = FV = P • (1 + r)t . . . (P = principle; r = risk free market rate; t = # of periods)
Present Value Formulas
PV = C1/(1+r)t = DF • C1 . . . (C1 = future cash flow; DF = discount factor)
Discount Factor = DF = 1/(1+r)t . . . (r = risk free market rate; t = # of periods)
Net PV = NPV = PV – required investment = C0 + [i=1 to T] Ci/(1+r)i
Present value of what an investment gives you over the market (+ = good investment)
C0 = initial investment (normally negative!); required investment = same thing
Perpetuity: set cash payment in every year (perpetuity that starts in year zero, begins payments in year 1)
PV of Perpetuity = Cash Flow / Market Rate = C / r . . . (see proof on p. 27) (first cash flow at t1)
PV of Delayed Perpetuity = C/(r • (1 + r)t) . . . (i.e. PV of CF discounted for delay) (perpetuity starts in year t, but the first payment comes in year t+1: delayed t years after normal perpetuity)
PV of constant growth perpetuity = PV0 = C1 / (r – g) . . . (g = growth rate of the cash flow)
PV of constant growth perpetuity at any time = PVt = Ct+1 / (r – g)
Annuity: annuity received in year zero, starts payments of C at year 1, and ceases at year t (i.e. t payments)
PV of Annuity year 1 to t = (C/r) – (C/r)•(1/(1+r)t) = (C/r)• (1 – (1/(1+r)t)) = perpetuity – delayed perpetuity
FV of Annuity year 1 to t = (C/r) • [(1+r)t-1]
Annuity Factor: (1/r) – (1/r)•(1/(1+r)t)
Equivalent annual annuity = present value of cash flows / annuity factor
Use this to find the cash flow per period (annuity) that has the same present value as the actual cash flow of the project
Bonds: purchase in year zero, first payment either at 6 months or 1 year
PV of Bond = annuity + deferred maturity value = C/(1+r)1 + C/(1+r)2 + . . . + (maturity value + C)/(1+r)N
Normally all Coupons (C) are equal, at C = coupon rate • maturity value
If paid semi-annually, half the market rate r for similar bonds, half of coupons C (assuming stated annually), and take periods as 6 months
Yield to Maturity = YTM = the market rate for similar bonds (note: this is essentially the return you will get after discount or premium)
Duration = [t=1 to T] t •PV(Ct)/PV = see back of book for easier formula using yield
(t = period; T is maturity time; PV(Ct) = present value of the payment in year t, PV is the current PV)
Duration measures how long before the bond price is paid via cash flows
Modified Duration = volatility(%) = duration / (1 + YTM)
Sensitivity of the bond to the market: percentage change in bond price for a 1 percentage-point change in the yield
Stock:
With Fixed Rate of Growth:
P0 = Div1 / (r – g) (for constant growth of dividends, value at t=0 with div1 paying out at t=1 NOT t=0)
In sum, you accumulate in year zero, use dividend in year 1 to calculate
Get “r” by CAPM; get “Div1” by ROE•payout ratio (“POR”); get “g” by ROE•PBR
Dividend growth rate = g = ROE • plowback ratio (conservative estimate)
Payout Ratio: fraction of earnings paid as dividends
Plowback Ratio: fraction of earnings retained by firm (POR + PBR = 1)
Without Growth (Fixed Dividends)
PV(stock) = P0 = PV(expected future dividends) = [t = 1 to inf.] Div1 / (1 + r)t . . . (r = expected return)
If Only Next Year’s Dividends are Known:
P0 = (Div1 + P1)/(1+r)
P1 = P0 • (1 + r) – Div1
In General
Expected Return= (Dividend + appreciation)/price = r = (Div1 + P1 - P0)/P0 = g + (Div1/P0) = g + dividend yield
(P0=current price; P1=price in one year; Div1=dividend to be paid in one year); (g=firm growth rate)
AKA Cost of Equity Capital, Market Capitalization Rate, Opportunity Cost of Capital
Dividend Yield = Div1/P0
Note: the dividend yield = r (expected return) when there is no growth
ROE = return on equity = Earnings per share / book value(equity) per share = earnings / book value(equity)
PVGO = present value of growth opportunities = P0 with new plowback – P0 without new plowback
P0 = (EPS/r) + PVGO
Valuing Business or Project
PV = PVH / (1+r)H + [t = 1 to H] FCFt / (1+r)t = FCF1 / (1+r)1 + FCF2 / (1+r)2 + . . . + PVH / (1+r)H
(H = valuation horizon, FCF = future cash flow, r = opportunity cost of capital)
First term is PV of free cash flows, whereas the second is PV of horizon value
Risk: a range of possible outcomes
r = rf + rp . . . (rf = risk free rate; rp = risk premium)
Standard Deviation and Variance
Variance= σ2 = (ř – r)2 . . . (ř = actual return, r = expected return)
= sum of all probabilities, each multiplied by the squared deviation (difference) from expected return associated with that probability (see Table 7.2, page 165)
Standard Deviation of řm = σ = (variance(řm))
Portfolio Analysis & Theory:
Portfolio Rate of Return = [i=0 to n] (fraction of port. in asset i) x (rate of return on asset i) . . . (n=# assets)
Portfolio Variance (of two stocks) = x12σ12 + x22σ22 + 2(x1x2ρ12σ1σ2) . . . (xn = weight, or amount of stock; ρ12 = correlation coefficient between two stocks)
Covariance = σ12 = ρ12 • σ1 • σ2 (i.e. covariance between the two stocks)
Sharpe Ratio = rp – rf / σp . . . (subscript “p” denotes portfolio) (rf is a point on the vertical axis)
SR is the slope of the line intersecting the risk free premium, and the portfolio point (σp, rp) you chose in standard deviation-expected return space (e.g., Fig. 8.5) — it is y=mx+b
You want to MAXIMIZE the Sharpe ratio: you can get highest returns for given standard deviation
If the portfolio is the entire market, then ^ is the market return (the market is perfectly efficient
Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM): r – rf = β(rm – rf) . . . (r = expected rate of return for a particular stock, (r – rf) = expected risk premium for this stock, β = beta for this stock, rm = market rate, rf = risk-free rate, (rm – rf) = market risk premium).
If you know a company’s β, as well as rm and rf you can get the required return r for the company - this is rE, aka your expected stock return. See WACC below
Beta: how susceptible a stock is to market variation
β = σim / σ2m = ρim • σi / σm . . . (σim = covariance between stock and market, σ2m variance of market returns)
β > 1 returns correlated with market but greater changes
β = 1 returns correlated exactly with market
0 < β < 1 returns correlated with market but lesser changes
β = 0 returns perfectly uncorrelated with market (i.e. no correlation ρim = 0, or no stock move σi =0)
-1 < β < 0 returns inversely correlated with market but lesser changes
β = -1 returns perfectly inversely correlated
β < -1 returns perfectly inversely correlated but greater change
Net Present Value Rule
Real discount rate = [(1 + nominal discount rate) / (1 + inflation rate)] – 1
nominal discount rate...